Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.536708 9.541153 10.677796 12.072612 13.756847 15.749768 18.324879
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.870665 8.123676 9.672008 11.774423 14.636515 18.531400 24.499522
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.995465 7.348357 9.119384 11.698669 15.534327 21.367780 31.748447
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.401063 6.797982 8.707782 11.645829 16.343603 24.216344 40.373769
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.057976 6.520106 8.599956 11.969518 17.756267 28.488483 54.419165
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.587039 5.999829 8.059325 11.507092 17.712224 30.053618 63.759076
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.198104 5.556061 7.575486 11.049288 17.555400 31.319714 73.541294
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.909987 5.233143 7.238893 10.782012 17.687737 33.264069 87.652128
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.701178 5.010370 7.034210 10.709263 18.182360 36.276489 110.111888
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.669406 5.053692 7.258673 11.438896 20.540807 45.408455 182.908535
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.581149 4.999035 7.311621 11.851311 22.319581 54.191723 298.775808
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.429093 4.829541 7.149944 11.813754 23.006746 59.911195 437.951802
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.257049 4.627370 6.933373 11.678877 23.543345 66.153431 701.705823
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.071435 4.392938 6.643592 11.361383 23.548037 70.555984 1107.533485
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.937349 4.235219 6.478011 11.287075 24.229318 79.076505 2511.194223
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.819203 4.096077 6.333380 11.236792 24.978667 89.231449 9744.456938
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.754553 4.043604 6.345107 11.543588 26.973588 110.770181 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.609744 3.842933 6.057260 11.105208 26.360099 113.422296 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.476379 3.655797 5.783453 10.670765 25.662203 114.919705 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.372726 3.515932 5.592548 10.416921 25.551948 121.797724 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.296181 3.420239 5.481784 10.347800 26.110778 136.715576 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.300887 3.469543 5.662366 11.040519 29.912304 203.892138 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.273975 3.459649 5.721907 11.431569 32.753006 284.384157 NaN